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by Richard Duncan

  • ISBN: 1118157796
  • Category: Politics
  • Author: Richard Duncan
  • Subcategory: Politics & Government
  • Other formats: lit doc mbr doc
  • Language: English
  • Publisher: Wiley; 1 edition (April 3, 2012)
  • Pages: 179 pages
  • FB2 size: 1458 kb
  • EPUB size: 1972 kb
  • Rating: 4.6
  • Votes: 357
Download The New Depression: The Breakdown of the Paper Money Economy fb2

This is a very ambitious book.

This is a very ambitious book. Is that correct? Yes. In 1968, when the United States stopped backing dollars with gold, the nature of money changed. The theory also provides a great starting point for diagnosing the options for going forward. Even though it's an economic theory, it's distilled to the bare essentials and very approachable by laymen.

In his previous book, The Dollar Crisis (2003), Duncan explained why a severe global economic crisis was inevitable .

In his previous book, The Dollar Crisis (2003), Duncan explained why a severe global economic crisis was inevitable given the flaws in the post-Bretton Woods international monetary system, and now he’s back to explain what’s next. Alarming but essential reading, The New Depression explains why the global economy is teetering on the brink of falling into a deep and protracted depression, and how we can restore stability. Macro Watch Videos Section.

In his previous book, The Dollar Crisis (2003), Duncan explained why a severe global economic crisis was inevitable given the flaws in the post-Bretton Woods international monetary system, and now he's back to explain what's next.

The New Depression book. Goodreads helps you keep track of books you want to read. Start by marking The New Depression: The Breakdown of the Paper Money Economy as Want to Read: Want to Read saving. Why the global recession is in danger of becoming another Great. Start by marking The New Depression: The Breakdown of the Paper Money Economy as Want to Read: Want to Read savin. ant to Read.

That outcome is not inevitable, and this book describes what must be done to prevent i. resents a fascinating look inside the financial crisis and how the Ne. .

Author: Richard Duncan. Paper Money Collapse: The Folly of Elastic Money and the Coming Monetary Breakdown.

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Richard Duncan is the author of three books on the global economic crisis. It was published by CLSA Books in December 2009. His latest book is The New Depression: The Breakdown Of The Paper Money Economy (John Wiley & Sons, 2012).

Richard Duncan is the author of three books on the global economic crisis risis of 2008 with extraordinary accuracy. It was an international bestseller.

EXHIBIT . Capacity Utilization. Source: St. Louis Fed. The Government Sector. That leaves only the government sector.

Why the global recession is in danger of becoming another Great Depression, and how we can stop it

When the United States stopped backing dollars with gold in 1968, the nature of money changed. All previous constraints on money and credit creation were removed and a new economic paradigm took shape. Economic growth ceased to be driven by capital accumulation and investment as it had been since before the Industrial Revolution. Instead, credit creation and consumption began to drive the economic dynamic. In The New Depression: The Breakdown of the Paper Money Economy, Richard Duncan introduces an analytical framework, The Quantity Theory of Credit, that explains all aspects of the calamity now unfolding: its causes, the rationale for the government's policy response to the crisis, what is likely to happen next, and how those developments will affect asset prices and investment portfolios.

In his previous book, The Dollar Crisis (2003), Duncan explained why a severe global economic crisis was inevitable given the flaws in the post-Bretton Woods international monetary system, and now he's back to explain what's next. The economic system that emerged following the abandonment of sound money requires credit growth to survive. Yet the private sector can bear no additional debt and the government's creditworthiness is deteriorating rapidly. Should total credit begin to contract significantly, this New Depression will become a New Great Depression, with disastrous economic and geopolitical consequences. That outcome is not inevitable, and this book describes what must be done to prevent it.

Presents a fascinating look inside the financial crisis and how the New Depression is poised to become a New Great DepressionIntroduces a new theoretical construct, The Quantity Theory of Credit, that is the key to understanding not only the developments that led to the crisis, but also to understanding how events will play out in the years aheadOffers unique insights from the man who predicted the global economic breakdown

Alarming but essential reading, The New Depression explains why the global economy is teetering on the brink of falling into a deep and protracted depression, and how we can restore stability.


Reviews about The New Depression: The Breakdown of the Paper Money Economy (7):
skyjettttt
The New Depression is an important book. I think the subject matter is beyond the grasp of a mass market audience but not at all boring or too complicated for those with some financial education or a keen interest in the subject. I mention this point because a few chapters necessarily lay a logic foundation for what follows and that requires some discussion of money and credit. Don't be scared off by my mild caveat.

This tightly written 179 page exposition explains the credit based economy since 1968. This book brings it all together and explains how we arrived at the economic ledge and the limited policy options remaining. Duncan starts by quickly showing how the expansion of credit has driven our economic growth. America continued it's economic expansion after leaving the gold standard by switching to an economy of credit/spending from saving/investing. It explains America's financial relationship with China/Asia and how we're all in this together and none are without sin. The progression he presents is absolutely convincing and sweeps away the confusion and incompleteness of the piecemeal theories that dominate financial market discussions. This understanding is monumentally important to the investor who stands stunned looking at a world of negative interest rates and wondering about inflation versus deflation. It's truly a matter of financial survival for many of us.

This book is not about blame or angry opinion but a mature and rational analysis. Terrible policy decisions were made in the past. The continuum of folly brought us to the credit collapse of 2008. Duncan places you in the shoes of the Fed chairman and the Treasury Secretary as they stand on the ledge discussing what to do next. Shocked themselves, they wonder what is politically possible and how much time have we left. Want to be the fly on the wall and hear the truth? Get the book. Worth every nickel.
Steelcaster
This book is quite educational and well worth the Kindle cost. It gave me a much better perspective on how debt, balance of payments, quantitative easing, China's printing of Yaun in exchange for $, funding of US debt, the role of low wages in China, and other factors have affected our economy. Unlike Richard's earlier, excellent book, it isn't of much help predicting what lies ahead. In that regard, the last few chapters which cover possible future economic conditions seemed a bit less focused and too long. The book gave me enough information, I believe, so that if/when serious inflation or deflation occurs in the future I will understand why that occurred. But, while he predicts bad things ahead, he is unable to help us predict whether it will be inflation or deflation. To be fair, I believe that few, if any economist can do so. I would rate the first 2/3 of the book very highly -- a 5, but rated the book a down to a 4 based on the last 1/3.
Kale
I give it 5 stars for lack of a 4.5 option.

The book gives a theory of credit that explains a great deal of the past 30 years of the US economy and in particular it superbly explains the financial crisis. The theory also provides a great starting point for diagnosing the options for going forward. Even though it's an economic theory, it's distilled to the bare essentials and very approachable by laymen.

I've read other authors that content that a 30-year boom based on credit inevitably had to end in a financial crisis. However, other authors fail to propose any workable way out. They say that trying to inflate the credit bubble again will not work, but they also rail against austerity as another clearly unworkable solution. This book also explains why those two paths (currently being tried in different countries around the world) will not ultimately work. However, it proposes a unique solution that could actually work: for the US invest it's way out of its crisis.

Government-led investment on a grand scale in projects that can reduce the runaway US trade deficit will:
* avoid a debt deflation spiral
* provide stimulus to the economy, but unlike consumption-based stimulus which once gone only leaves unpayable debt in its trail, investment-based stimulus leaves behind the infrastructure to support the repayment of its debt, and ideally it will be a double win by helping to...
* reduce the totally unsustainable trade deficit - by investing in renewable energy for example

My only disagreement with this book is that the chapter that explores the solar investment proposal is over-hyped. However, you can ignore the hype about the proposal and it still makes sense.

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